A new poll posted Sunday on the Real Clear Politics website shows Secretary of State Kris Kobach with a seven-point lead over Gov. Jeff Colyer in the Republican primary for governor.
The poll by the Trafalgar Group out of Atlanta showed Kobach with 43 percent to 36 percent for Colyer. Former state Sen. Jim Barnett received 11 percent in the poll and Insurance Commissioner Ken Selzer was at 5 percent in the poll. It was unknown who commissioned the poll.
The poll surveyed 1,546 Republican voters from July 30 to Aug. 2. Most of the poll was done before ProPublica and The Kansas City Star published their story about Kobach’s immigration work. The margin of error was 2.4 percent. Curiously, there were no undecideds in the Trafalgar poll.
The poll was posted to the Real Clear Politics about 48 hours after the Topeka Capital-Journal reported on a Remington poll showing that Kobach and Colyer were tied at 32 percent. The Remington poll was done last Thursday. The Remington poll showed undecideds at 11 percent.
We’re not vouching for which poll is correct. But since it’s out there, we want to let you know about it and you can decide on your own.
But here’s some background from Ballotpedia, which showed that Trafalgar correctly polled the Georgia 6th Congressional District election in June 2017 but not so much the U.S. Senate race between Judge Roy Moore and Doug Jones.
Trafalgar had Republican Karen Handel up by two in the Georgia race. She won by 4. In Alabama, a Trafalgar poll showed Moore up by 7 in that race, which he went on to lose by about two points.
Trafalgar, described as a Republican consulting firm, also was credited for correctly polling President Donald Trump’s wins in major battleground states such as Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Florida.
Robert Cahaly, Trafalgar’s senior strategist, discussed its presidential polling with Politico. Here’s another story from Politico that looked at Trafalgar’s polling from the 2016 presidential election.
